The Arizona Diamondbacks (+120) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-145) on Saturday, June 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 30-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 34-33 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 3-4, 5.44 ERA
• Padres starting pitcher: Matt Waldron 3-5, 4.00 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 17 away games (+17.50 Units / 103% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 39 games (+14.80 Units / 20% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 21 away games (+13.25 Units / 35% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 48 games (+12.95 Units / 24% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 24 games (+11.35 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 40 games (+18.45 Units / 23% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 24 games at home (+16.10 Units / 67% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+15.90 Units / 33% ROI)
• Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+15.00 Units / 32% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.05 Units / 26% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 55 games (+10.65 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.50 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 53 games (+5.15 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 away games (+4.20 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 33 away games (+2.65 Units / 7% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 32 games at home (+11.05 Units / 28% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games at home (+8.00 Units / 24% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 35 games (+7.05 Units / 16% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.70 Units / 33% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.25 Units / 14% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 28-36 against the Run Line (-12.8 Units / -15.05% ROI).

• 30-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.75 Units / -8.6% ROI
• 29-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.4 Units / -10.42% ROI
• 33-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.6 Units / 2.29% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 34-33 against the Run Line (+3.95 Units / 4.82% ROI).

• 33-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.95 Units / -10.36% ROI
• 33-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.95 Units / -4.03% ROI
• 33-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.5 Units / -4.71% ROI

Padres vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed batters are hitting .404 (38-for-94) against Ryne Nelson this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .241 — 0 Percentile.

Ryne Nelson has allowed a BABIP of .481 against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .286 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (101/608) against Ryne Nelson since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.

Ryne Nelson has struck out just 14% (57/416) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Matt Waldron has allowed a just .278 SLG vs right-handed batters (ninth best)– 88th Percentile and .504 vs left-handed batters this season (fourth worst among qualified SPs)– sixth Percentile.

Matt Waldron allowed a batting average of just .190 vs right-handed batters (eighth best)– 89th Percentile and .306 vs left-handed batters this season (second worst among qualified SPs)– third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .333 (12-for-36) against Matt Waldron’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .205 — third Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting .306 (37-for-121) against Matt Waldron this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — third Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

  
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