The Arizona Diamondbacks (+100) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-120) on Saturday, July 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 43-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 48-44 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 3-6, 4.26 ERA
• Padres starting pitcher: Matt Waldron 5-7, 3.57 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

• Christian Walker has hit the Walks Under in 32 of his last 37 games (+22.05 Units / 29% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+16.65 Units / 17% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+15.15 Units / 24% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.20 Units / 43% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 34 games (+12.15 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 14 games (+37.30 Units / 266% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 18 games (+13.55 Units / 75% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+11.50 Units / 20% ROI)
• Kyle Higashioka has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+11.20 Units / 140% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.80 Units / 55% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+11.00 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.50 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 away games (+6.70 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 away games (+6.40 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.05 Units / 40% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 15 games at home (+11.80 Units / 70% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.95 Units / 55% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+9.85 Units / 65% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 games (+8.95 Units / 12% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.95 Units / 50% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 42-46 against the Run Line (-10.1 Units / -8.72% ROI).

• 43-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.15 Units / -5.57% ROI
• 45-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.35 Units / -0.36% ROI
• 41-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.95 Units / -8.28% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 48-44 against the Run Line (+5.85 Units / 5.08% ROI).

• 49-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -1.55% ROI
• 49-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.3 Units / 3.29% ROI
• 42-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.45 Units / -12.16% ROI

Padres vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Brandon Pfaadt has a first-pitch strike rate of 72% (307/426) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

Brandon Pfaadt allowed a batting average of just .181 vs right-handed batters (tied for eighth best)– 90th Percentile and .299 vs left-handed batters this season (third worst among qualified SPs)– fifth Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting .299 (59-for-197) against Brandon Pfaadt this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — fifth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .294 (15-for-51) against Brandon Pfaadt’s elevated fastball this season — tied for 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .210 — 13th Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Matt Waldron has allowed a just .277 SLG vs right-handed batters (fifth best)– 94th Percentile and .467 vs left-handed batters this season (10th worst among qualified SPs)– 19th Percentile.

Matt Waldron has allowed a slugging percentage of just .146 (15 Total Bases / 103 ABs) versus the bottom of the order this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .341 — 100th Percentile.

Matt Waldron has allowed an OPS of just .529 (187 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .662 — 92nd Percentile.

Matt Waldron has thrown off-speed pitches 62% of the time (242/393) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 38% — 100th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

  
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