The Arizona Diamondbacks (+120) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-145) on Thursday, June 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 36-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 45-28 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 4-5, 5.47 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore 6-5, 3.21 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 20 away games (+19.50 Units / 98% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 47 games (+17.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+9.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+9.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 47 games (+9.05 Units / 17% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+14.60 Units / 162% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 28 games (+11.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+11.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+10.20 Units / 61% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 65 games (+8.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 74 games (+5.60 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.00 Units / 45% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 65 games (+18.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 65 games (+16.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 65 games (+10.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 67 games (+8.25 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+7.05 Units / 23% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 34-40 against the Run Line (-11.05 Units / -11.34% ROI).
- 36-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -6.89% ROI
- 36-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.65 Units / -4.45% ROI
- 36-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.05 Units / -3.77% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 45-28 against the Run Line (+14.53 Units / 15.39% ROI).
- 36-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.35 Units / 17.64% ROI
- 31-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.35 Units / -12.98% ROI
- 38-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.73 Units / 4.61% ROI
Nationals vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
Eddie Rosario (WAS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -550 |
Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Nationals vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Ildemaro Vargas (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Jesse Winker (WAS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Nationals vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Joey Meneses (WAS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Eddie Rosario (WAS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Nationals vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Ryne Nelson (ARI) | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -130 |
Mackenzie Gore (WAS) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -160 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting .376 (44-for-117) against Ryne Nelson this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .241 — 0 Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has allowed an OPS of .995 (128 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .688 — 0 Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has allowed a BABIP of .452 against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .286 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .362 (25-for-69) against Ryne Nelson versus the bottom of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .227 — 0 Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (67/201) against MacKenzie Gore this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 35% (55/157) against MacKenzie Gore this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has thrown inside pitches 38% of the time (166/436) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 30% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .381 (16-for-42) against MacKenzie Gore on low fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .249 — fifth Percentile.