The Arizona Diamondbacks (+125) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-150) on Friday, April 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami.

The Marlins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Diamondbacks vs Marlins Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 8-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 5-8 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

• Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 70% ROI)
• Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.70 Units / 60% ROI)
• Alek Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 45% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+6.60 Units / 82% ROI)
• Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+6.40 Units / 58% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jorge Soler has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 50% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.80 Units / 82% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+8.10 Units / 54% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.45 Units / 53% ROI)
• Jean Segura has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 12 games (+6.05 Units / 50% ROI)

Marlins vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+7.25 Units / 56% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.50 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.40 Units / 73% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 58% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.45 Units / 62% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.90 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.90 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 4 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 9-4 against the Run Line (+5 Units / 30.4% ROI).

• 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.25 Units / 44.96% ROI
• 7-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.35 Units / 9.28% ROI
• 5-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -18.02% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 5-8 against the Run Line (-6.4 Units / -33.07% ROI).

• 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -1.77% ROI
• 6-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.65 Units / -4.56% ROI
• 6-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -5.23% ROI

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

36 of Madison Bumgarner’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since last season — most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

34 of Madison Bumgarner’s 73 breaking pitch strikeouts (47%) were backdoor in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

67 of Madison Bumgarner’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since the 2021 season — most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

34 of Madison Bumgarner’s breaking pitch strikeouts were backdoor in 2022 — most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Trevor Rogers allowed three-ball counts to 34.2% of batters they faced (38/111 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: 19.8% — 0 Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has thrown his changeup 30% of the time (157/520) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has thrown his changeup 33% of the time (14/43) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 99th Percentile.

  
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