Diamondbacks vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 28
Diamondbacks vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 28

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+115) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-135) on Sunday, April 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 12-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 13-14 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 1-1, 4.97 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 2-0, 1.89 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Kevin Newman has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+19.50 Units / 488% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.95 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+9.65 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.95 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.25 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+15.50 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.25 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Cal Raleigh has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 15 games (+10.65 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Cal Raleigh has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+8.75 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 49% ROI)

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 70 away games (+10.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)

  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 61 games (+11.71 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.13 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+8.75 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 86 games (+7.14 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 60% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 13-15 against the Run Line (-3.25 Units / -9.19% ROI).

  • 12-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.95 Units / -18.99% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -15.11% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 6.23% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 13-14 against the Run Line (-1.75 Units / -4.92% ROI).

  • 15-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -1.82% ROI
  • 6-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -15 Units / -52.26% ROI
  • 19-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.3 Units / 43.16% ROI

Mariners vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Mitch Haniger (SEA) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550

Mariners vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Jake McCarthy (ARI) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Mariners vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Mariners vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Brandon Pfaadt has a first-pitch strike rate of 77% (94/122) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 44% (54/122) against Brandon Pfaadt on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 98th Percentile.

Brandon Pfaadt has a strike rate of 72% (165/230) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (19/54) against Brandon Pfaadt on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 90th Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Logan Gilbert has thrown his slider 46% of the time (42/91) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 96th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 37% (26/70) against Logan Gilbert this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .242 (331 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — 100th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .194 (67 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd best among in MLB; League Avg: .299 — 95th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

  
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