The Arizona Diamondbacks (+130) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-155) on Thursday, September 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 79-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 68-72 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Merrill Kelly 4-0, 4.31 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Blake Snell 2-3, 3.58 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 21 games (+45.00 Units / 214% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 48 games (+21.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 22 games (+16.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Walks Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+15.10 Units / 62% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 48 games (+14.70 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 43 games (+37.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 49 games (+19.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 49 games (+18.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+12.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 43 games (+12.05 Units / 27% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 57 of their last 84 games (+30.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 83 games (+23.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 36 away games (+11.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 26 games (+4.15 Units / 13% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 66 games at home (+7.85 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 53 of their last 99 games (+6.90 Units / 6% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 66 games at home (+5.15 Units / 6% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 58% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 72-68 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -1.4% ROI).
- 79-61 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.95 Units / 7.89% ROI
- 80-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +18.95 Units / 12.22% ROI
- 55-80 when betting on the total runs Under for -32.75 Units / -21.38% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 68-72 against the Run Line (-10.1 Units / -5.56% ROI).
- 68-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.25 Units / -8.4% ROI
- 71-63 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.1 Units / 1.37% ROI
- 63-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.15 Units / -9.81% ROI
Giants vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
Giants vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Geraldo Perdomo (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Giants vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
Giants vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Blake Snell (SF) | 7.5 +105 | 7.5 -135 |
| Merrill Kelly (ARI) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Merrill Kelly has allowed a slugging percentage of .766 (36 Total Bases / 47 ABs) over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .399 — second Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.111 (20 Total Bases / 18 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .403 — second Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has allowed an OPS of 1.170 (52 PA’s) in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .678 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .444 (8-for-18) against Merrill Kelly when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .231 — second Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Blake Snell has allowed three-ball counts to 30% of batters they faced (487/1,624 PA’s) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 184 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has allowed three-ball counts to 31% of batters they faced (333/1,089 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (253/676) against Blake Snell this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 38% (283/751) against Blake Snell since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.