Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 16
Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 16

The Arizona Diamondbacks (-105) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-115) on Tuesday, August 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco.

The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Diamondbacks vs Giants Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 53-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 53-62 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 66.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 41 of his last 76 games (+22.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 36 of his last 51 away games (+14.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 51 of his last 76 games (+12.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 24 away games (+11.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Ketel Marte has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 52% ROI)

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.55 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • J.D. Davis has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 16 games at home (+8.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+8.35 Units / 27% ROI)

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 61 of their last 104 games (+16.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 37 games (+15.10 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 away games (+6.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.85 Units / 12% ROI)

  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 52 games at home (+15.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 35 games at home (+5.45 Units / 14% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 66-49 against the Run Line (+13.7 Units / 9.27% ROI).

  • 53-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -3.18% ROI
  • 51-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.6 Units / -10.81% ROI
  • 59-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 1.49% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 53-62 against the Run Line (-15.75 Units / -11.03% ROI).

  • 58-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.3 Units / -10.03% ROI
  • 56-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -0.92% ROI
  • 52-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.55 Units / -8.22% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .127 (9-for-71) against Merrill Kelly’s elevated fastball this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .220 — 95th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .135 (35-for-260) against Merrill Kelly with two-strikes this season — tied for 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .160 — 86th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .196 (18-for-92) against Merrill Kelly on inside fastballs this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .256 — 91st Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 20% (45/219) against Merrill Kelly this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 90th Percentile.

Jakob Junis: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jakob Junis has thrown his slider 53% of the time (541/1,019) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total SL; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Jakob Junis has not allowed a HR in any of his last four starts dating back to July 25th — Collin McHugh has the longest active streak at 8.

Jakob Junis has recorded 21 of his 25 strikeouts (84%) vs left-handed batters with his slider this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.

Jakob Junis has thrown off-speed pitches 69% of the time (701/1,019) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total NonFB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

  
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