Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 21
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 21

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+145) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-175) on Tuesday, May 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 22-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 27-23 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 1-3, 4.12 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Gavin Stone 4-1, 3.28 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jake McCarthy has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+21.00 Units / 525% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 35 games (+16.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+16.20 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 31 games (+15.55 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+13.55 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 24 games at home (+12.10 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 42 games (+10.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+10.30 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.30 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the RBIs Over in 22 of his last 42 games (+8.15 Units / 19% ROI)

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games (+11.05 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games (+7.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+2.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 23 away games (+2.35 Units / 9% ROI)

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 27 games (+11.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 27 games at home (+8.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+8.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games at home (+7.25 Units / 12% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 21-27 against the Run Line (-9.05 Units / -14.56% ROI).

  • 22-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -12.11% ROI
  • 22-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -8.79% ROI
  • 24-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.15 Units / 0.29% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 27-23 against the Run Line (+1.4 Units / 2.4% ROI).

  • 33-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 1.25% ROI
  • 26-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.95 Units / 1.74% ROI
  • 23-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.75 Units / -10.33% ROI

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
Joc Pederson (ARI) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +175
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Corbin Carroll (ARI) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 -200 0.5 +155

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Joc Pederson (ARI) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) 5.5 +135 5.5 -175
Gavin Stone (LAD) 4.5 +135 4.5 -175

Brandon Pfaadt has a first-pitch strike rate of 74% (166/224) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.

Brandon Pfaadt has a first-pitch strike rate of 74% (166/224) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 44% (98/224) against Brandon Pfaadt on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 44% (98/224) against Brandon Pfaadt on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .048 (1-for-21) against Gavin Stone with two-strikes — tied for 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .165 — 98th Percentile.

Gavin Stone has a strikeout rate of just 13% (15 SO in 117 PAs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.

Gavin Stone has a strikeout rate of just 7% (4 SO in 53 PAs) versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.

Gavin Stone has a strikeout rate of just 32% (29 SO in 90 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 42% — sixth Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

  
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