Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 31

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+155) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-190) on Friday, March 31, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 0-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 1-0 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 72.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jake Hager has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+2.85 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
  • Carson Kelly has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Ketel Marte has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games at home (+5.85 Units / 195% ROI)
  • Max Muncy has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.95 Units / 198% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Will Smith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 77% ROI)

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Evan Longoria 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Max Muncy 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Will Smith 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Christian Walker 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Evan Longoria 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
Max Muncy 0.5 -140 0.5 +100
Will Smith 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Miguel Vargas 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Christian Walker 0.5 -165 0.5 +115

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Evan Longoria 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Max Muncy 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Will Smith 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Christian Walker 0.5 +195 0.5 -300

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
May 5.5 -145 5.5 +105
Merrill Kelly 4.5 -105 4.5 -135

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 84 games (+41.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 69 of their last 151 games (+34.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 94 of their last 163 games (+20.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 72 of their last 127 games (+10.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 74% ROI)

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 99 of their last 167 games (+25.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 90 of their last 162 games (+17.65 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 167 games (+6.55 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.45 Units / 23% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 0-1 against the Run Line (-1.5 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -100% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 1-0 against the Run Line (+1.3 Units / 130% ROI).

  • 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 60.61% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -100% ROI

Opponents batted just .124 (47-for-380) against Merrill Kelly with two-strikes in 2022 — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .156 — 95th Percentile.

Merrill Kelly had a strike rate of 70% (608/864) in two strike counts in 2022 — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 93rd Percentile.

Merrill Kelly has located his pitches away 55% of the time (695/1,254) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

32% of Merrill Kelly’s strikeouts were looking in 2022 — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 91st Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

  
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