Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 30
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 30

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+145) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-175) on Thursday, March 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 10-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 8-14 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


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Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Evan Longoria 0.5 +475 0.5 -1100
Will Smith 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
Christian Walker 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 -115 0.5 -125
Evan Longoria 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
Will Smith 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Miguel Vargas 0.5 -130 0.5 -110
Christian Walker 0.5 -155 0.5 +110

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Evan Longoria 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Will Smith 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
Christian Walker 0.5 +230 0.5 -350

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Julio Urias 5.5 -140 5.5 +100
Zac Gallen 5.5 -120 5.5 -120

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 84 games (+41.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 69 of their last 151 games (+34.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 151 games (+24.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 72 of their last 127 games (+10.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.45 Units / 26% ROI)

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 163 games (+25.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 90 of their last 162 games (+17.65 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 93 games (+14.65 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.80 Units / 25% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 11-9 against the Run Line (+2.2 Units / 8.64% ROI).

  • 10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 8.11% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -4.91% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.6 Units / -2.78% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 8-14 against the Run Line (-5.8 Units / -24.84% ROI).

  • 9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.95 Units / -15.44% ROI
  • 7-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -5 Units / -20.7% ROI
  • 11-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.4 Units / 13.96% ROI

Opponents batted just .186 (121-for-651) against Zac Gallen last season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed batters hit just .146 (45-for-308) against Zac Gallen last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .235 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents batted just .135 (23-for-171) against Zac Gallen when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 100th Percentile.

Zac Gallen allowed an OPS of just .560 (714 PA’s) last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .664 — 97th Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Julio Urias has a strike rate of 73% (912/1,250) vs left-handed batters since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

Julio Urias threw his curveball 33% of the time (156/477) when behind in the count last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

Julio Urias has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (541/1,250) vs left-handed batters since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total CB; League Avg: 19% — 97th Percentile.

  
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