Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 4
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 4

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+120) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-140) on Thursday, July 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 42-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 43-44 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 6-4, 2.84 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Landon Knack 1-1, 2.08 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Walks Under in 32 of his last 37 games (+22.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+16.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+15.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 34 games (+12.15 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 21 games (+16.05 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.05 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+13.75 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Jason Heyward has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+12.45 Units / 79% ROI)

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 38 games (+8.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 43 away games (+6.70 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 77 games (+5.65 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.05 Units / 47% ROI)

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+11.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+4.70 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 23% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 41-45 against the Run Line (-10.1 Units / -8.95% ROI).

  • 42-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.95 Units / -5.5% ROI
  • 43-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.35 Units / -2.46% ROI
  • 41-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.6 Units / -5.98% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 43-44 against the Run Line (-7.05 Units / -6.77% ROI).

  • 53-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.9 Units / -5.99% ROI
  • 44-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.35 Units / -2.45% ROI
  • 42-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.3 Units / -6.57% ROI

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Joc Pederson (ARI) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Andy Pages (LAD) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Miguel Rojas (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Andy Pages (LAD) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zac Gallen (ARI) 4.5 -155 4.5 +120
Landon Knack (LAD) 4.5 +125 4.5 -160

Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .316 (201 Total Bases / 637 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .375 — 95th Percentile.

Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .327 (123 Total Bases / 376 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .393 — 96th Percentile.

Zac Gallen has allowed an OBP of just .255 (685 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 91st Percentile.

Zac Gallen has allowed an OBP of just .264 (405 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 84th Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Landon Knack has limited playing time.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

  
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