The Arizona Diamondbacks (+100) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-120) on Sunday, July 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 51-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 49-51 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 4-6, 3.95 ERA
• Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 8-2, 2.98 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

• Christian Walker has hit the Walks Under in 32 of his last 37 games (+22.05 Units / 29% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+16.65 Units / 17% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+15.15 Units / 24% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.20 Units / 43% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 34 games (+12.15 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+19.05 Units / 36% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+14.20 Units / 27% ROI)
• Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games at home (+12.60 Units / 90% ROI)
• Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)
• Michael Busch has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+12.40 Units / 95% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 43 games (+14.60 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 29 away games (+9.75 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 49 away games (+9.70 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 34 away games (+9.50 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.45 Units / 21% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 32 games at home (+11.90 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 88 games (+11.70 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games at home (+8.80 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+4.20 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.10 Units / 23% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 50-49 against the Run Line (-4.95 Units / -3.77% ROI).

• 51-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.9 Units / -0.73% ROI
• 52-44 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.25 Units / 2.96% ROI
• 44-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.55 Units / -11.63% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 49-51 against the Run Line (-13.55 Units / -9.69% ROI).

• 47-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -5.42% ROI
• 43-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.2 Units / -14.72% ROI
• 54-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +7 Units / 6.36% ROI

Cubs vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Brandon Pfaadt allowed a batting average of just .189 vs right-handed batters (seventh best)– 91st Percentile and .294 vs left-handed batters this season (third worst among qualified SPs)– sixth Percentile.

Brandon Pfaadt has a first-pitch strike rate of 72% (333/464) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

Brandon Pfaadt has struck out just 17% (40/235) of left-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — seventh Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting .294 (64-for-218) against Brandon Pfaadt this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — sixth Percentile.

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Shota Imanaga has walked 3 of 149 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 51% (529/1,036) against Shota Imanaga in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .148 (16-for-108) against Shota Imanaga’s elevated fastball this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: .219 — 93rd Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .435 (10-for-23) against Shota Imanaga in late innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: .245 — second Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

  
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