Diamondbacks vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 20
Diamondbacks vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 20

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+) on Saturday, July 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 50-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 49-50 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 6-5, 3.89 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks 2-7, 6.92 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 57.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Walks Under in 32 of his last 37 games (+22.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+16.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+15.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 34 games (+12.15 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+19.05 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+14.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games at home (+12.60 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Michael Busch has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+12.40 Units / 95% ROI)

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 42 games (+15.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 48 away games (+8.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 28 away games (+8.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 away games (+8.50 Units / 24% ROI)

  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 31 games at home (+10.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 87 games (+10.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+7.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.20 Units / 36% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 49-49 against the Run Line (-6.2 Units / -4.75% ROI).

  • 50-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -1.56% ROI
  • 52-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.35 Units / 4% ROI
  • 43-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.55 Units / -12.68% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 49-50 against the Run Line (-12.1 Units / -8.74% ROI).

  • 47-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.55 Units / -4.63% ROI
  • 43-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.1 Units / -13.86% ROI
  • 53-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +6 Units / 5.5% ROI

Cubs vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Christopher Morel (CHC) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Dansby Swanson (CHC) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750

Cubs vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Gabriel Moreno (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Dansby Swanson (CHC) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Randal Grichuk (ARI) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Cubs vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Christopher Morel (CHC) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Ian Happ (CHC) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Cubs vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryne Nelson (ARI) 4.5 -105 4.5 -125
Justin Steele (CHC) 5.5 +115 5.5 -155

Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .318 (210 Total Bases / 661 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .377 — 95th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 30% (122/410) against Zac Gallen since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .419 (13-for-31) against Zac Gallen this month (3 games) — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — fourth Percentile.

Zac Gallen has struck out just 5% (1/20) of left-handed batters he faced in his last two starts — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Hendricks has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.3 MPH since last season (682 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 89.1

Kyle Hendricks has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 82.1 MPH on non-fastballs since last season (331 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 87.4

Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.3 MPH on fastballs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — first Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has located his pitches away 70% of the time (1,151/1,651) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

  
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