The Arizona Diamondbacks (+140) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-165) on Tuesday, April 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 10-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 7-10 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.15 Units / 57% ROI)
- Gabriel Moreno has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+7.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.55 Units / 94% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+7.40 Units / 62% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.55 Units / 52% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 75% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 away games (+7.65 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+7.65 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+5.70 Units / 57% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 13 games (+11.70 Units / 79% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 12-5 against the Run Line (+6.5 Units / 27.6% ROI).
- 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.65 Units / 37.15% ROI
- 8-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.8 Units / -4.27% ROI
- 8-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -3.73% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 7-10 against the Run Line (-4.1 Units / -19.81% ROI).
- 7-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -28.51% ROI
- 6-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.9 Units / -26.7% ROI
- 10-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.15 Units / 16.49% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 51% (24/47) against Drey Jameson this season — 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 27% — 97th Percentile.
Drey Jameson has a first-pitch strike rate of just 41% (20/49) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 60% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 48% (12/25) against Drey Jameson this season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 73% (19/26) against Drey Jameson on sliders this season — best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 5% (1/19) against Jordan Montgomery on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery had a first-pitch strike rate of 85% (23/27) — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has attempted to pick off a runner at second base 9 timessince last season — most among qualified SPs in MLB — 100th Percentile.