The Arizona Diamondbacks (+135) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-160) on Monday, April 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 9-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 7-9 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+8.55 Units / 122% ROI)
- Gabriel Moreno has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.35 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.75 Units / 45% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.05 Units / 117% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 39% ROI)
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
| Jack Flaherty | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.55 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+4.55 Units / 51% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games (+10.70 Units / 80% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 41% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 11-5 against the Run Line (+5.5 Units / 25.06% ROI).
- 9-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.4 Units / 31.95% ROI
- 7-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.8 Units / -10.17% ROI
- 8-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 2.56% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 7-9 against the Run Line (-3.1 Units / -15.74% ROI).
- 7-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.45 Units / -23.96% ROI
- 5-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.9 Units / -34.1% ROI
- 10-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.3 Units / 23.96% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Merrill Kelly has walked 12 of 64 batters (19%) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has walked 8 of 30 right-handed batters (27%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has a strike rate of just 52% (45/86) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has a strike rate of just 56% (76/135) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty has walked 14 of 65 batters (21%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has walked 8 of 31 right-handed batters (26%) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 81% (13/16) against Jack Flaherty in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.