The Arizona Diamondbacks (-130) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+110) on Friday, September 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 85-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 79-74 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 12-6, 3.62 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea 12-5, 4.15 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

• Corbin Carroll has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 34 games (+38.10 Units / 112% ROI)
• Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 50 games (+21.20 Units / 42% ROI)
• Joc Pederson has hit the Walks Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+12.80 Units / 41% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 35 games (+10.80 Units / 15% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+10.65 Units / 87% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Garrett Mitchell has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 15 games (+29.80 Units / 199% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+20.70 Units / 39% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 38 games (+18.90 Units / 49% ROI)
• Willy Adames has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+8.95 Units / 69% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 41% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 64 of their last 97 games (+30.50 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 96 games (+20.95 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 44 away games (+10.80 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.75 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 away games (+6.00 Units / 25% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 36 games (+36.00 Units / 91% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 36 games (+36.00 Units / 69% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 88 of their last 153 games (+11.65 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 77 of their last 149 games (+9.60 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 63 games at home (+7.25 Units / 9% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 78-75 against the Run Line (-4.15 Units / -2.06% ROI).

• 85-68 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.2 Units / 5.75% ROI
• 87-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +19.15 Units / 11.29% ROI
• 61-87 when betting on the total runs Under for -34.45 Units / -20.6% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 79-74 against the Run Line (+0.45 Units / 0.22% ROI).

• 88-65 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.65 Units / 5.96% ROI
• 78-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.4 Units / 4.42% ROI
• 65-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -21 Units / -12.4% ROI

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zac Gallen has walked 6 of 27 batters (22%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Zac Gallen has walked 6 of 27 batters (22%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Zac Gallen has allowed an OPS of just .603 (531 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .685 — 96th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 44% of Zac Gallen’s pitches (52/119) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 59% — second Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Colin Rea has a strikeout rate of just 18% (46 SO in 261 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (220/1,149) against Colin Rea this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.

Colin Rea has a strikeout rate of just 19% (124 SO in 660 PAs) this season — tied for 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 14th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 21% (86/413) against Colin Rea this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

  
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