The Arizona Diamondbacks (-120) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+100) on Thursday, September 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 84-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 79-73 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 9-9, 4.81 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Tobias Myers 8-5, 3.07 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

• Corbin Carroll has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 33 games (+39.10 Units / 118% ROI)
• Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 49 games (+19.60 Units / 40% ROI)
• Joc Pederson has hit the Walks Over in 18 of his last 29 games (+13.80 Units / 46% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 34 games (+13.05 Units / 19% ROI)
• Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 49 games (+10.95 Units / 19% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jackson Chourio has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 47 games (+27.40 Units / 58% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+22.70 Units / 42% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 37 games (+17.90 Units / 47% ROI)
• Tobias Myers has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.15 Units / 44% ROI)
• Willy Adames has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+8.95 Units / 69% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 64 of their last 96 games (+31.60 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 95 games (+19.95 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 away games (+9.45 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.55 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 away games (+4.85 Units / 21% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 25 games (+25.00 Units / 91% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 25 games (+25.00 Units / 69% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 88 of their last 152 games (+12.65 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 77 of their last 148 games (+10.70 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 62 games at home (+8.85 Units / 12% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 77-75 against the Run Line (-5.5 Units / -2.74% ROI).

• 84-68 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.2 Units / 5.27% ROI
• 87-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +20.25 Units / 12.02% ROI
• 60-87 when betting on the total runs Under for -35.45 Units / -21.34% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 79-73 against the Run Line (+2.05 Units / 1.02% ROI).

• 88-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.65 Units / 6.5% ROI
• 78-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.5 Units / 5.11% ROI
• 64-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -22 Units / -13.08% ROI

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .292 (26-for-89) against Brandon Pfaadt’s elevated fastball this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .208 — sixth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .289 (69-for-239) against Brandon Pfaadt when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — seventh Percentile.

Brandon Pfaadt has a first-pitch strike rate of 71% (497/699) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.

Brandon Pfaadt has walked 11 of 257 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 92nd Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tobias Myers has not walked any of the 26 batters that he has faced over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for best among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .149 (14-for-94) against Tobias Myers with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .249 — 98th Percentile.

Tobias Myers has allowed an OPS of just .446 (109 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .728 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .346 (9-for-26) against Tobias Myers over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd highest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: .197 — fourth Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

  
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