The Arizona Diamondbacks (+190) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-250) on Monday, October 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Diamondbacks vs Brewers Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 73-86 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 66-93 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Monday‘s matchup with 65.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Christian Walker has hit the Hits Over in 39 of his last 53 games (+17.05 Units / 16% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+13.95 Units / 26% ROI)
• Jake McCarthy has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+13.65 Units / 65% ROI)
• Merrill Kelly has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.75 Units / 46% ROI)
• Josh Rojas has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 24 away games (+11.40 Units / 36% ROI)

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+10.60 Units / 38% ROI)
• Hunter Renfroe has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 52 games (+9.55 Units / 18% ROI)
• Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+9.20 Units / 84% ROI)
• Willy Adames has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 31 games at home (+8.55 Units / 14% ROI)
• Eric Lauer has hit the Strikeouts Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+8.30 Units / 26% ROI)

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 59 of their last 81 games (+40.30 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 87 of their last 148 games (+23.80 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 away games (+12.00 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 70 of their last 124 games (+9.70 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 27 away games (+7.10 Units / 25% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 72 of their last 139 games (+8.55 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 7 games (+7.95 Units / 97% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.85 Units / 66% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 75 games at home (+7.82 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 48 games at home (+5.95 Units / 11% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 92-67 against the Run Line (+21.1 Units / 10.37% ROI).

• 73-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -0.68% ROI
• 72-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.05 Units / -10.33% ROI
• 82-72 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.05 Units / 1.17% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 66-93 against the Run Line (-35.1 Units / -18.36% ROI).

• 84-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.9 Units / -9.47% ROI
• 75-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.2 Units / -4.66% ROI
• 76-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.25 Units / -3% ROI

Thomas Henry: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tommy Henry has limited playing time.

Brandon Woodruff: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Brandon Woodruff has a strikeout rate of 75% (21 SO in 28 PAs) with two-strikes — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (8/66) against Brandon Woodruff with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Brandon Woodruff has struck out 46% (10/22) of left-handed batters he faced — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 54% (108/200) against Brandon Woodruff on changeups this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

  
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