The Arizona Diamondbacks (+190) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-250) on Sunday, July 31, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Atlanta.

The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Diamondbacks vs Braves Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 45-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 53-49 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s matchup with 62.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 37 of his last 61 games (+29.55 Units / 44% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 44 of his last 61 games (+17.95 Units / 18% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 45 of his last 64 games (+15.05 Units / 15% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 53 games (+12.70 Units / 16% ROI)
• Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 33 games (+9.90 Units / 25% ROI)

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 63 of his last 90 games (+20.95 Units / 14% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 59 games (+17.55 Units / 18% ROI)
• Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 53 of his last 90 games (+17.05 Units / 17% ROI)
• Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 52 of his last 88 games (+15.95 Units / 12% ROI)
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 23 games (+14.85 Units / 35% ROI)

Braves vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 89 games (+13.65 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 22 games (+12.70 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+5.75 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 39 of their last 78 games (+5.45 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 23 away games (+5.10 Units / 20% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Braves: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 51 of their last 76 games (+21.42 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 52 games (+14.30 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games at home (+9.15 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 58% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 94 games (+7.60 Units / 6% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 57-43 against the Run Line (+10.95 Units / 8.45% ROI).

• 45-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.25 Units / -3.85% ROI
• 43-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.75 Units / -12.57% ROI
• 52-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 3.47% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 53-49 against the Run Line (+0.05 Units / 0.04% ROI).

• 61-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 0.95% ROI
• 51-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.3 Units / -0.27% ROI
• 47-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.25 Units / -8.22% ROI

Kenneth Kelly: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Merrill Kelly did not allow a runner to reach base (15 PA’s) against right-handed batters — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .305 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .150 (9-for-60) against Merrill Kelly’s elevated fastball this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .222 — 88th Percentile.

Merrill Kelly has allowed an OBP of just .087 (23 PA’s) against right-handed batters — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .317 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .255 (12-for-47) against Merrill Kelly on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .333 — 88th Percentile.

Max Fried: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

15 of Max Fried’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — 3rd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 96th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an OPS of just .454 (110 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .687 — 98th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.6 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (137 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 80.3

39 of Max Fried’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since the start of last season — 2nd most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: nan — 99th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
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