The Arizona Diamondbacks (+180) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-225) on Saturday, July 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.

The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).

The Diamondbacks vs Braves Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 45-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 52-49 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s matchup with 64.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 36 of his last 60 games (+28.15 Units / 42% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 43 of his last 60 games (+16.95 Units / 18% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 44 of his last 63 games (+14.05 Units / 14% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 52 games (+11.70 Units / 15% ROI)
• Carson Kelly has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.80 Units / 70% ROI)

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 63 of his last 89 games (+22.65 Units / 16% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 58 games (+18.55 Units / 19% ROI)
• Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 52 of his last 87 games (+16.95 Units / 13% ROI)
• Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 52 of his last 89 games (+16.05 Units / 16% ROI)
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+13.85 Units / 34% ROI)

Braves vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 88 games (+14.70 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 21 games (+13.70 Units / 58% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+6.75 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 39 of their last 77 games (+6.65 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.75 Units / 49% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Braves: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 75 games (+20.42 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 51 games (+13.30 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.90 Units / 74% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+8.15 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 93 games (+6.60 Units / 6% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 57-42 against the Run Line (+12 Units / 9.33% ROI).

• 45-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -2.97% ROI
• 43-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.65 Units / -11.69% ROI
• 51-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 2.59% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 52-49 against the Run Line (-0.95 Units / -0.75% ROI).

• 60-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 0.36% ROI
• 51-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 0.72% ROI
• 46-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.25 Units / -9.2% ROI

Corbin Martin: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Corbin Martin has not allowed a home run in any of the last 18.2 innings he’s appeared — the longest active streak is 53.1.

Ian Anderson: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ian Anderson has allowed an OPS of 1.197 (89 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: .755 — 0 Percentile.

Ian Anderson has an average spin rate of 1868.9 RPM on curveballs since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 2515.2 — first Percentile.

Ian Anderson has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 52% (165/319) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 33% (80/241) against Ian Anderson on low breaking pitches this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 46% — second Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
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