The Arizona Diamondbacks (+120) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-145) on Sunday, September 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 79-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 72-70 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 10-6, 4.15 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Justin Verlander 3-5, 4.55 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

• Corbin Carroll has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 24 games (+42.00 Units / 175% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 50 games (+18.95 Units / 38% ROI)
• Joc Pederson has hit the Walks Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+15.10 Units / 62% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 48 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.25 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 45 games (+34.80 Units / 77% ROI)
• Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 21 games at home (+15.80 Units / 45% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+14.10 Units / 60% ROI)
• Ben Gamel has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+13.30 Units / 60% ROI)
• Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 23 games at home (+11.50 Units / 49% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 59 of their last 87 games (+31.10 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 86 games (+20.70 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 39 away games (+9.65 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.65 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 29 games (+2.95 Units / 8% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 73 of their last 125 games (+18.70 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 84 games (+18.05 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 69 games (+12.80 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+9.80 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 48 games (+9.25 Units / 16% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 73-70 against the Run Line (-4.75 Units / -2.5% ROI).

• 79-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.95 Units / 6.09% ROI
• 82-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +19.75 Units / 12.46% ROI
• 56-82 when betting on the total runs Under for -33.95 Units / -21.71% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 72-70 against the Run Line (+5.3 Units / 3.06% ROI).

• 77-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -3.54% ROI
• 57-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -31.3 Units / -20.19% ROI
• 81-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.85 Units / 11.32% ROI

Astros vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ryne Nelson allowed a batting average of just .143 vs right-handed batters (tied for ninth best)– 85th Percentile and .400 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (tied for second worst among qualified SPs)– eighth Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (214/1,182) against Ryne Nelson this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.

Ryne Nelson has a strikeout rate of 40% (53 SO in 134 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 95th Percentile.

Ryne Nelson has a strikeout rate of just 13% (12 SO in 92 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 0 Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .383 (23 GB hits out of 60 GBs) against Justin Verlander this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 0 Percentile.

Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .247 (787 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: .311 — 100th Percentile.

Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .541 (788 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: .715 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (60/217) against Justin Verlander this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
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