The Arizona Diamondbacks (+135) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-160) on Friday, September 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 79-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 70-70 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 9-7, 4.32 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 13-6, 3.11 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB game with 59.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Astros and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

• Corbin Carroll has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 22 games (+44.00 Units / 200% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 49 games (+20.25 Units / 41% ROI)
• Joc Pederson has hit the Walks Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+15.10 Units / 62% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 23 games (+14.90 Units / 31% ROI)
• Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 38 games (+14.20 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 44 games (+35.80 Units / 81% ROI)
• Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 24 games at home (+16.20 Units / 52% ROI)
• Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 21 games at home (+15.80 Units / 45% ROI)
• Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+12.40 Units / 51% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+11.70 Units / 41% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 57 of their last 85 games (+29.10 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 84 games (+22.70 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 37 away games (+12.80 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.75 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.15 Units / 16% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 73 of their last 123 games (+20.90 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 82 games (+15.35 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 46 games (+12.15 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 67 games (+10.80 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 28 games (+7.80 Units / 18% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 73-68 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -0.86% ROI).

• 79-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.95 Units / 7.29% ROI
• 80-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +17.75 Units / 11.36% ROI
• 56-80 when betting on the total runs Under for -31.75 Units / -20.6% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 70-70 against the Run Line (+2.6 Units / 1.52% ROI).

• 75-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.2 Units / -4.6% ROI
• 55-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -33.3 Units / -21.79% ROI
• 81-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.05 Units / 12.9% ROI

Astros vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Brandon Pfaadt has walked 8 of 243 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 67% (14/21) against Brandon Pfaadt in late innings this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 38% — first Percentile.

Brandon Pfaadt has allowed an OBP of just .247 (243 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — 91st Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .281 (64-for-228) against Brandon Pfaadt when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — eighth Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (240/399) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 34% (124/365) against Framber Valdez this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.

Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (928/2,222) this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Framber Valdez has allowed an OPS of just .561 (773 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .681 — 100th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
Read Full Article