The Arizona Diamondbacks (+145) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-175) on Wednesday, September 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Diamondbacks vs Astros Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 71-84 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 84-71 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Diamondbacks vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 65.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Astros vs Diamondbacks and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 48 games (+14.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- Merrill Kelly has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+11.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- Zac Gallen has hit the Earned Runs Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+10.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 45 games (+10.70 Units / 22% ROI)
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 40 of his last 71 games at home (+17.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+15.60 Units / 53% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+10.50 Units / 39% ROI)
- Aledmys Diaz has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+9.60 Units / 69% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.70 Units / 11% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games (+4.75 Units / 8% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 89-66 against the Run Line (+19.9 Units / 10.14% ROI).
- 71-84 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.75 Units / -1.01% ROI
- 69-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.85 Units / -11.68% ROI
- 81-69 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.15 Units / 2.42% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 84-71 against the Run Line (+13.7 Units / 7.44% ROI).
- 102-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.85 Units / 5.79% ROI
- 57-88 when betting on the total runs Over for -38.55 Units / -22.72% ROI
- 88-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +24.5 Units / 14.25% ROI
Zachary Gallen: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .182 (110-for-606) against Zac Gallen this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .151 (11-for-73) against Zac Gallen on inside fastballs this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: .258 — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .145 (43-for-297) against Zac Gallen this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: .234 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .158 (40-for-253) against Zac Gallen’s fastball this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .505 (621 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .666 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed a slugging percentage of just .276 (161 Total Bases / 584 ABs) since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: .400 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .229 (620 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .188 (110-for-584) against Justin Verlander this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 97th Percentile.