The Arizona Diamondbacks (+180) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-225) on Tuesday, September 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Diamondbacks vs Astros Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 71-83 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 83-71 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Diamondbacks vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 64.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 48 games (+14.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- Merrill Kelly has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+11.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- Zac Gallen has hit the Earned Runs Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+10.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 45 games (+10.70 Units / 22% ROI)
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 40 of his last 71 games at home (+17.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+15.60 Units / 53% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+10.50 Units / 39% ROI)
- Aledmys Diaz has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+9.60 Units / 69% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 56 of their last 76 games (+39.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 84 of their last 143 games (+23.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 away games (+15.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 67 of their last 119 games (+9.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.85 Units / 54% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 91 of their last 141 games (+30.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 87 of their last 152 games (+25.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 94 of their last 138 games (+19.35 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 76 of their last 135 games (+17.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 51 games at home (+10.25 Units / 18% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 89-65 against the Run Line (+21.05 Units / 10.78% ROI).
- 71-83 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -0.44% ROI
- 68-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.85 Units / -12.34% ROI
- 81-68 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.3 Units / 3.11% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 83-71 against the Run Line (+12.7 Units / 6.93% ROI).
- 101-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.85 Units / 5.47% ROI
- 56-88 when betting on the total runs Over for -39.55 Units / -23.46% ROI
- 88-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +25.65 Units / 15.02% ROI
Zachary Davies: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Davies has located his pitches away 69% of the time (369/531) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Davies has located his pitches away 65% of the time (781/1,198) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Davies has located his fastball away 64% of the time (713/1,120) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Davies has located his fastball away 60% of the time (1,474/2,459) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Lance McCullers Jr.: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% (99/520) against Lance McCullers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.
Lance McCullers has thrown his curveball 50% of the time (857/1,719) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total CB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Lance McCullers has thrown off-speed pitches 80% of the time (1,367/1,719) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total NonFB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 23% (197/858) against Lance McCullers on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.