The Denver Nuggets (40-19) will try to continue a four-game win run when they host the Miami Heat (33-25) at 10:00 PM ET on Thursday, February 29, 2024. The Heat have won five games in a row.
The Nuggets head into their matchup against the Heat as a 4.5-point favorite. The point total for the game is 214.5.
Nuggets vs. Heat Betting Odds
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Thursday at 3:30 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.
- Spread: Denver -4.5
- Total: 214.5
- Moneyline: Denver -193, Miami +160
Heat at Nuggets odds, spread, & more
- Pick ATS: Nuggets (- 4.5)
- Pick OU:
Over (214.5)
- Prediction:
Nuggets 115 – Heat 108
- Denver has won 37, or 74%, of the 50 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
- This season, Denver has come away with a win 26 times in 32 chances when named as a favorite of at least -193 or better on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies Denver has a 65.9% chance of walking away with the win.
- Miami has won 38.5% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (10-16).
- Miami has a record of 6-9 in games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +160 or longer (40%).
- Miami has a 38.5% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
- The Nuggets put up 114.6 points per game, just 4.7 more points than the 109.9 the Heat give up.
- Denver is 24-16-2 against the spread and 35-7 overall when scoring more than 109.9 points.
- When it scores more than 110.4 points, Miami is 19-8-1 against the spread and 22-6 overall.
- Denver has an ATS record of 17-15-1 and a 28-5 record overall when its opponents score fewer than 110.6 points.
- The Nuggets are at the 16th spot in the NBA’s scoring charts (114.6 PPG), while the Heat allow the third-fewest points per game (109.9) in the league.
- Miami is the NBA’s 27th-ranked offense (110.6 PPG), while Denver is the seventh-ranked defense (110.4).
- The Nuggets have put up a total of 244 more points than their opponents this year (an average of 4.2 per game), and the Heat have out-scored opponents by 43 points on the season (0.7 more per game).
Over/Under
- Denver’s average implied point total this year is 7.3 more points than its implied total in Thursday’s game (117.3 implied points on average compared to 110 implied points in this game).
- So far this season, Denver has put up more than 110 points in 42 games.
- The average implied point total on the year for Miami (113.7) is 8.7 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (105).
How to watch Nuggets vs. Heat
- Game Day: Thursday, February 29, 2024
- Game Time: 10:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: TNT
- Location: Denver, Colorado
- Arena: Ball Arena
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