Free Daily NCAAF Lock Pick, Friday November 10th: North Texas vs SMU 9:00pm ET
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Week 10 of the NFL schedule comes to a close as a pair of AFC teams looking to get back on track take the field in search of a win on the shores of Lake Erie. The Denver Broncos are on the road as they make the trip to take on the Buffalo Bills on Monday Night Football. Denver comes in off a bye week last week: they beat the Chiefs 24-9 at home in their previous game October 29, winning outright as a seven-point underdog. Buffalo was upended 24-18 on the road by Cincinnati in their previous contest last Sunday night, failing to cover the line as a 1.5-point underdog. In the all-time regular season series between the teams, the Bills own a 22-16-1 advantage and have taken five of the last six meetings, including each of the last three. The most recent matchup was a 48-19 Buffalo blowout win on the road back on December 19, 2020.
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Denver had the bye week last week and enters this one off two straight victories as they downed the Chiefs for the first time in an eternity in their previous game. The Broncos enter this game 3-5 overall on the season and stand in the basement of the AFC West standings. Against Kansas City, Denver never trailed as they scored midway through the first quarter to take a 7-0 lead. The Broncos were up 7-3 after one quarter, 14-9 at the half and salted away the win with 10 fourth quarter points. Denver was outgained 274-240 in total offense though they held the first down edge 19-18 and controlled the clock by a 33:47 to 26:13 margin. The Broncos forced five Kansas City turnovers while committing just one in the contest.
The Broncos enter this game 27th in the league in passing offense with an average of 185.4 yards per game through the air and they stand 11th in rushing offense by putting up 116.8 yards per contest. Denver is 16th in scoring offense with an average of 21.5 points per game while they are 32nd in scoring defense by allowing an average of 28.3 points a contest. Russell Wilson is 154 of 233 passing for 1,613 yards with 16 touchdowns against four interceptions. He has been sacked 26 times while adding 201 yards on the ground. Javonte Williams is leading the team with 90 carries for 357 yards this season. Samaje Perine (27 carries, 103 yards) and Jaleel McLaughlin (38 carries, 268 yards, TD) are also in the mix for the Broncos. Courtland Sutton leads the team with 33 receptions for 380 yards and six scores this season. Perine (22 receptions, 231 yards), Jerry Jeudy (27 catches, 336 yards, TD), Marvin Mims Jr. (11 grabs, 246 yards, TD) and Brandon Johnson (eight receptions, 122 yards, three TD) are solid options in the passing game. Wil Lutz is 15 of 16 on extra points and 13 of 15 on field goal attempts with a long of 52 this season.
The bye week was beneficial for the Broncos. Every player on the active roster participated in full at practice Thursday and Friday. Watch to see if any surprises pop up over the weekend leading into kickoff.
Free Daily NCAAF Lock Pick, Friday November 10th: North Texas vs SMU 9:00pm ET CLICK TO SEE PICK NOW