The Los Angeles Chargers host the Dallas Cowboys, as we make our best Dak Prescott vs. Justin Herbert NFL player prop predictions based on the best NFL odds.
Dak Prescott performed terribly against the San Francisco 49ers' defense in Week 5. He ended the game just 14-of-24 for 153 yards with one touchdown and three interceptions. On the season, Prescott has thrown five touchdowns and four picks.
In the game before the Chargers' bye week, Herbert was just 13-of-24 for 167 yards with one touchdown and one interception. He did add two touchdowns on the ground in that game. With Austin Ekeler back, will Herbert's production suffer?
Here are our best Dak Prescott vs. Justin Herbert NFL player prop predictions for the Dallas Cowboys vs. Los Angeles Chargers Week 6 matchup (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Dak Prescott vs. Justin Herbert NFL player prop predictions for Week 6
- Dak Prescott to finish with more passing yards (+130 via BetMGM) ????
- Dak Prescott Under 0.5 interceptions (+108 via BetMGM) ???
- Justin Herbert Under 1.5 passing touchdowns (+115 via bet365) ???
Dak Prescott vs. Justin Herbert player props
Herbert has thrown for 1,106 yards this season. Prescott has thrown for 1,061. Most impressive for Herbert is that he's achieved these numbers playing one fewer game than Prescott. However, we're taking Prescott to have more passing yards in this game.
The Chargers have the worst pass defense in football. Every quarterback they've faced has thrown for at least 238 yards, and two of them have gone for 367 or more. As great as Herbert's numbers have been, they've been amplified by two excellent performances . He's thrown for 229 or fewer in two of his four games this year.
Finally, there is the fact that Herbert gets Ekeler back. That's fantastic for the Chargers' offense, but it doesn't necessarily bode well for Herbert's passing numbers. In the only game that Ekeler played this season, Herbert was 23-of-33 for 229 yards, despite his team scoring 34 points. With all these factors in mind, and this great price, take Prescott confidently.
Prescott has thrown four interceptions in five games, but those picks have not been evenly distributed. Last week, he threw three interceptions against the 49ers. He only has one interception in his other four games combined.
The Chargers have three interceptions this season, one each in three of their four games. But the Cowboys have a much more balanced attack than the other teams they've faced this season. With Tony Pollard in the backfield, Prescott won' ;t be forced to throw as much as Kirk Cousins or Tua Tagovailoa before the Miami Dolphins realized what they had in the backfield.
To get this at better than +100 when Prescott has thrown an interception in fewer than half his games this season, facing the worst pass defense in the league, is phenomenal value.
Herbert has thrown seven touchdown passes this season, but he has thrown just one in two of his four games. With Ekeler back in the lineup, the Chargers have a legitimate rushing attack in the red zone, which could cause Herbert to see his red-zone production drop.
Additionally, the Cowboys have allowed just five passing touchdowns this season. That averages out to one per game, but in reality, most of the damage was done last week when Brock Purdy threw four touchdowns.
Herbert could easily go Over this number, but the value on the Under is great. It seems that oddsmakers are ban king on an overreaction from the public to the Cowboys' Week 5 performance. Based on prices, it seems the public is taking the bait.
Dak Prescott vs. Justin Herbert player prop picks made 10/16/2023 at 9:56 a.m. ET.
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