The Chicago Cubs (+105) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-125) on Saturday, July 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Cubs are 49-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 60-44 ATS.

Cubs vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 8-2, 2.87 ERA
• Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 12-4, 2.38 ERA

Cubs vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 35 games (+24.40 Units / 70% ROI)
• Ian Happ has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+17.10 Units / 42% ROI)
• Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+16.65 Units / 17% ROI)
• Michael Busch has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 39 games (+15.20 Units / 29% ROI)
• Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+11.45 Units / 23% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+16.55 Units / 66% ROI)
• Seth Lugo has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+12.75 Units / 48% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 44 games (+12.15 Units / 17% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 18 games (+12.00 Units / 67% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+11.90 Units / 42% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 55 of their last 93 games (+16.70 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.55 Units / 68% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+4.05 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 13 away games (+3.05 Units / 15% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 54 games at home (+16.20 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 54 games at home (+13.29 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+12.75 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 54 games at home (+8.65 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.45 Units / 34% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 50-55 against the Run Line (-17.1 Units / -11.71% ROI).

• 49-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.1 Units / -6.4% ROI
• 43-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.9 Units / -18.92% ROI
• 59-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +12 Units / 10.4% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 60-44 against the Run Line (+7.84 Units / 5.53% ROI).

• 57-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.7 Units / 6.75% ROI
• 42-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.55 Units / -19.08% ROI
• 58-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.55 Units / 10.15% ROI

Royals vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Shota Imanaga has walked 17 of 423 batters (4%) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 94th Percentile.

Shota Imanaga has walked 4 of 158 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 56% of Shota Imanaga’s pitches (873/1,571) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .137 (16-for-117) against Shota Imanaga’s elevated fastball this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .207 — 96th Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (30/162) against Seth Lugo on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — eighth Percentile.

Seth Lugo has allowed a slugging percentage of just .233 (17 Total Bases / 73 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .351 — 92nd Percentile.

Seth Lugo has walked 5 of 102 batters (5%) with runners in scoring position this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 92nd Percentile.

Seth Lugo has allowed a slugging percentage of just .305 (53 Total Bases / 174 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .371 — 88th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

  
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