The Chicago Cubs (+105) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-130) on Monday, October 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.

The Reds are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Cubs vs Reds Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cubs are 73-86 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 74-85 ATS.

Cubs vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Monday‘s matchup with 55.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 19 away games (+16.10 Units / 42% ROI)
• Nico Hoerner has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 30 away games (+12.20 Units / 39% ROI)
• Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.25 Units / 21% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.15 Units / 30% ROI)
• Adrian Sampson has hit the Earned Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.20 Units / 65% ROI)

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.90 Units / 46% ROI)
• Nick Senzel has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+11.60 Units / 41% ROI)
• Mike Minor has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.25 Units / 75% ROI)
• Joey Votto has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.10 Units / 110% ROI)
• Kyle Farmer has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.90 Units / 55% ROI)

Reds vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 82 games (+18.85 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games (+17.50 Units / 80% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 48 of their last 82 games (+15.95 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 63 of their last 105 games (+15.95 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 games (+9.70 Units / 37% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Reds: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 72 of their last 131 games (+13.90 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 21 games (+13.26 Units / 55% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 67 games (+12.65 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.30 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.40 Units / 16% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 80-79 against the Run Line (-10.7 Units / -5.27% ROI).

• 73-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.4 Units / -1.88% ROI
• 64-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -26.2 Units / -14.95% ROI
• 82-64 when betting on the total runs Under for +12 Units / 6.85% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 74-85 against the Run Line (-20.05 Units / -10.12% ROI).

• 60-99 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.2 Units / -13.66% ROI
• 75-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.7 Units / -7.22% ROI
• 79-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.85 Units / -2.21% ROI

Hayden Wesneski: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a swing rate of 41% (20/49) against Hayden Wesneski on the first pitch of at-bats — 8th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 34% — 91st Percentile.

Hayden Wesneski has allowed an OPS of just .493 (30 PA’s) vs left-handed batters — 10th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .685 — 82nd Percentile.

Christian Greene: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hunter Greene has averaged 98.8 MPH on fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 100th Percentile.

Hunter Greene has thrown 436 fastballs at 100+ MPH this season — 2nd most among pitchers in MLB — 98th Percentile.

Hunter Greene has an average fastball velocity of 98.9 MPH this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 100th Percentile.

Hunter Greene has struck out 34% (89/264) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

  
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