The Chicago Cubs (+100) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-120) on Saturday, June 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Cubs are 31-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 37-27 ATS.

Cubs vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

• Cubs starting pitcher: Ben Brown 1-2, 3.33 ERA
• Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 4-5, 3.41 ERA

Cubs vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

• Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+13.65 Units / 44% ROI)
• Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 19 away games (+12.25 Units / 41% ROI)
• Mike Tauchman has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 44 games (+9.90 Units / 21% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 33 games (+9.55 Units / 29% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+9.30 Units / 22% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 50 games (+15.45 Units / 27% ROI)
• Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+11.55 Units / 32% ROI)
• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Stolen Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.15 Units / 26% ROI)
• TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+11.10 Units / 185% ROI)
• Luke Maile has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+10.20 Units / 32% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 38 games (+12.60 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+8.30 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.85 Units / 60% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 26 away games (+0.90 Units / 2% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 31 away games (+0.75 Units / 2% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+11.90 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 18 games at home (+11.70 Units / 55% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+10.40 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+9.00 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+7.35 Units / 30% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 31-33 against the Run Line (-9.9 Units / -10.99% ROI).

• 31-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -2.34% ROI
• 30-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.4 Units / -7.62% ROI
• 32-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.8 Units / -1.14% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 37-27 against the Run Line (+8.05 Units / 9.52% ROI).

• 31-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -2.99% ROI
• 30-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.75 Units / -6.7% ROI
• 31-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.15 Units / -3.07% ROI

Reds vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ben Brown has struck out 46% (13/28) of left-handed batters he faced — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Ben Brown has thrown his curveball 51% of the time (94/184) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total CB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (38/98) against Ben Brown with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 66% (64/97) against Ben Brown on low breaking pitches this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Andrew Abbott has walked 2 of 108 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 17% (16/93) against Andrew Abbott on sliders since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 21% (36/175) against Andrew Abbott’s curve and slider since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (71/260) against Andrew Abbott on non-fastballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 0 Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

  
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