The Chicago Cubs (+110) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-130) on Thursday, June 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Cubs are 31-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 36-26 ATS.

Cubs vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

• Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad 4-1, 2.26 ERA
• Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 3-2, 3.46 ERA

Cubs vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 54.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

• Michael Busch has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 21 away games (+16.10 Units / 77% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 50 games (+15.20 Units / 30% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 50 games (+14.45 Units / 23% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 32 of his last 50 games (+11.35 Units / 19% ROI)
• Mike Tauchman has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+10.90 Units / 23% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 48 games (+15.20 Units / 28% ROI)
• TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+13.10 Units / 328% ROI)
• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Stolen Bases Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.45 Units / 33% ROI)
• Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.75 Units / 36% ROI)
• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 31 games (+11.60 Units / 30% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.50 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.00 Units / 77% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+6.15 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 29 away games (+3.40 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 60 games (+2.15 Units / 3% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 28 games at home (+13.15 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 16 games at home (+11.80 Units / 62% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 44 games (+11.35 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+7.45 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.00 Units / 50% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 30-32 against the Run Line (-9.1 Units / -10.51% ROI).

• 31-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 0.19% ROI
• 29-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.25 Units / -7.65% ROI
• 31-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -1.03% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 36-26 against the Run Line (+7.5 Units / 9.08% ROI).

• 29-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.25 Units / -5.87% ROI
• 29-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.6 Units / -6.7% ROI
• 30-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -3.02% ROI

Reds vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .120 (18-for-150) against Javier Assad with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: .254 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 40% (199/500) against Javier Assad this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.

6 of Javier Assad’s 18 breaking pitch strikeouts (33%) have been backdoor this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.

Javier Assad has allowed an OBP of just .172 (58 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .301 — 100th Percentile.

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hunter Greene has walked 5 of 18 batters (28%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (44/108) against Hunter Greene on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .188 (25-for-133) against Hunter Greene this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 86th Percentile.

56% of Hunter Greene’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

  
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