Cubs vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 31
Cubs vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 31

The Chicago Cubs (+125) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-150) on Wednesday, July 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Cubs are 51-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 60-47 ATS.

Cubs vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks 2-9, 7.07 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 8-3, 3.49 ERA

Cubs vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 39 games (+20.40 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+18.70 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 30 games (+17.05 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+16.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 44 games (+15.85 Units / 19% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 21 games (+19.60 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+11.35 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+10.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Jeimer Candelario has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+9.60 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+9.20 Units / 31% ROI)

  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 97 games (+15.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.45 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 away games (+4.30 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 away games (+3.05 Units / 12% ROI)

  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 91 games (+14.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 89 games (+11.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+10.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 52 games at home (+8.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 57 games (+6.85 Units / 10% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 52-57 against the Run Line (-17.1 Units / -11.32% ROI).

  • 51-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -5.99% ROI
  • 45-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -21 Units / -17.46% ROI
  • 60-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.8 Units / 9.02% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 60-47 against the Run Line (+7.45 Units / 5.23% ROI).

  • 52-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -3.43% ROI
  • 46-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.5 Units / -13.94% ROI
  • 56-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.15 Units / 4.39% ROI

Reds vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Patrick Wisdom (CHC) 0.5 +270 0.5 -350
Spencer Steer (CIN) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) 0.5 +425 0.5 -650

Reds vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Cody Bellinger (CHC) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Santiago Espinal (CIN) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Jake Fraley (CIN) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Reds vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spencer Steer (CIN) 0.5 +105 0.5 -135
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) 0.5 +110 0.5 -145
Jeimer Candelario (CIN) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200

Reds vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nick Lodolo (CIN) 5.5 -135 5.5 +105
Kyle Hendricks (CHC) 3.5 +105 3.5 -135

Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.6 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — first Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.2 MPH in the 2023 season (449 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 89.2

Kyle Hendricks has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.4 MPH since last season (717 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 89.1

Kyle Hendricks has thrown his changeup 58% of the time (560/957) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Nick Lodolo has allowed an OBP of .394 (376 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 172 total IP; League Avg: .307 — 0 Percentile.

Nick Lodolo has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (197/434) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Nick Lodolo has allowed an OBP of .543 (35 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .314 — first Percentile.

Nick Lodolo has allowed an OPS of just .369 (96 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .699 — 100th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

  
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