The Chicago Cubs (-105) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-115) on Saturday, August 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Cubs are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Cubs vs Reds Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cubs are 46-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 52-59 ATS.
Cubs vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Cubs vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Saturday‘s matchup with 74.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Reds vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 44 of his last 57 games (+19.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 40 of his last 62 games (+17.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+16.95 Units / 60% ROI)
- Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 19 away games (+16.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.85 Units / 41% ROI)
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+11.20 Units / 48% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+8.70 Units / 96% ROI)
- Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+8.50 Units / 91% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+7.70 Units / 31% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+13.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+10.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 42 away games (+6.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 42 away games (+6.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 away games (+4.85 Units / 27% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 83 games (+13.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 34 games (+9.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 85 games (+6.20 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 46 of their last 85 games (+5.65 Units / 6% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 57-54 against the Run Line (-5.35 Units / -3.72% ROI).
- 46-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.4 Units / -13.02% ROI
- 47-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.55 Units / -13.54% ROI
- 58-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.6 Units / 5.4% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 52-59 against the Run Line (-12.7 Units / -9.23% ROI).
- 44-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.95 Units / -9.21% ROI
- 56-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.1 Units / -3.33% ROI
- 54-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.75 Units / -6.36% ROI
Adrian Sampson: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 19% (3/16) against Adrian Sampson vs left-handed batters — 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 37% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (5/18) against Adrian Sampson this month (1 games) — 15th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 43% — ninth Percentile.
Adrian Sampson has allowed a slugging percentage of .591 (13 Total Bases / 22 ABs) this month (1 games) — tied for 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .403 — ninth Percentile.
Douglas Ashcraft: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Graham Ashcraft has not walked any of the 30 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .100 (2-for-20) against Graham Ashcraft — 5th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .242 — 93rd Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of just 13% (19/149) against Graham Ashcraft when he’s behind in the count this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 24% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (20/159) against Graham Ashcraft on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.