The Chicago Cubs (-120) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+100) on Monday, April 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Cubs vs Reds Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 1-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 2-1 ATS.
Cubs vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Cubs vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 61.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Under in his last game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Nelson Velazquez has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Spencer Steer has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Nick Senzel has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Michael Siani has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Stuart Fairchild has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
Reds vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Curt Casali | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
Reds vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Curt Casali | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Reds vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Curt Casali | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Reds vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Connor Overton | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -120 |
| Drew Smyly | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 48 games (+17.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 65 of their last 108 games (+16.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 165 games (+13.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 away games (+10.25 Units / 75% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 70 away games (+10.05 Units / 13% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 24 games (+16.41 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 73 of their last 134 games (+12.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 84 games at home (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 1-2 against the Run Line (-1.65 Units / -39.29% ROI).
- 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -32.31% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -39.13% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 28.57% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 2-1 against the Run Line (+1.95 Units / 65% ROI).
- 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 14.46% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -34.33% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 30.77% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (1,684/3,953) since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 99th Percentile.
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 45% of the time (1,331/2,952) against right-handed batters since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total CB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
20 of Drew Smyly’s 69 breaking pitch strikeouts (29%) were backdoor in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 98th Percentile.
Drew Smyly threw his curveball 48% of the time (666/1,396) against right-handed batters in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Connor Overton has not struck out a hitter in his last 35 PAs against a LHH dating back to May 12nd, 2022 — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Connor Overton has not allowed a HR in any of his last four starts dating back to April 30th, 2022 — John Brebbia has the longest active streak at 11.
The last hit on a Connor Overton breaking pitch was May 17th, 2022. Hitters are 0 for their last 15 in ABs ending on his breaking pitches. — Huascar Brazoban has the longest active streak at 21.