The Chicago Cubs (+100) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-120) on Wednesday, June 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Cubs are 32-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 28-39 ATS.
Cubs vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad 4-2, 2.73 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Aaron Civale 2-5, 5.51 ERA
Cubs vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Cubs vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+14.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 away games (+14.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 39 games (+11.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 21 away games (+10.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 36 games (+9.20 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.75 Units / 61% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.95 Units / 47% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.90 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jose Siri has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games at home (+8.00 Units / 160% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 41 games (+13.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 41 games (+11.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 55 games (+6.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 29 away games (+1.25 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 34 away games (+1.20 Units / 3% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 44 of their last 64 games (+23.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games at home (+5.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games at home (+3.65 Units / 10% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 33-34 against the Run Line (-9.55 Units / -10.08% ROI).
- 32-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -3.46% ROI
- 30-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.65 Units / -11.67% ROI
- 35-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.2 Units / 3% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 28-39 against the Run Line (-12.9 Units / -14.97% ROI).
- 32-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.3 Units / -14.22% ROI
- 34-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -1.5% ROI
- 32-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.55 Units / -7.51% ROI
Rays vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Rays vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Mike Tauchman (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Rays vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Assad (CHC) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Aaron Civale (TB) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -135 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .409 (180 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: .736 — 100th Percentile.
Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .437 (211 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: .726 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .130 (20-for-154) against Javier Assad with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: .253 — 100th Percentile.
Javier Assad has a strike rate of just 60% (317/527) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 15% (5/33) against Aaron Civale — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 15% (5/33) against Aaron Civale over the last 14 days — lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Aaron Civale has allowed a slugging percentage of .628 (27 Total Bases / 43 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .351 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (65/201) against Aaron Civale this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.