The Chicago Cubs (-105) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-115) on Friday, September 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh.

The Cubs are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Cubs vs Pirates Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cubs are 64-85 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 75-73 ATS.

Cubs vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Friday‘s matchup with 51.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 19 away games (+16.10 Units / 42% ROI)
• Nico Hoerner has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 29 away games (+13.35 Units / 45% ROI)
• Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+10.75 Units / 27% ROI)
• Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 24 away games (+10.25 Units / 24% ROI)
• Seiya Suzuki has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+8.00 Units / 49% ROI)

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 29 of his last 51 games at home (+12.35 Units / 17% ROI)
• Jack Suwinski has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 27 games at home (+8.95 Units / 24% ROI)
• Rodolfo Castro has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 37 games (+8.60 Units / 13% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 51 games at home (+8.20 Units / 10% ROI)
• Jason Delay has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 12 games at home (+7.95 Units / 66% ROI)

Pirates vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 44 of their last 73 games (+17.65 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 away games (+10.30 Units / 147% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 away games (+6.00 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+5.15 Units / 33% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Pirates: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games (+5.25 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.30 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 24 games (+3.60 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.85 Units / 21% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 72-75 against the Run Line (-14.55 Units / -7.75% ROI).

• 64-85 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.3 Units / -7.88% ROI
• 60-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.4 Units / -14.39% ROI
• 76-60 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.1 Units / 6.17% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 75-73 against the Run Line (-5.8 Units / -3.16% ROI).

• 55-93 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.25 Units / -8.67% ROI
• 66-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.6 Units / -8.37% ROI
• 73-66 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 0.27% ROI

Javier Assad: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters have swung at 44% of Javier Assad’s pitches (118/267) this month (4 games) — 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 49% — seventh Percentile.

The hardest ball hit off of Javier Assad was just 103.8 MPH — 6th hardest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 109.0

Javier Assad has walked 4 of 36 right-handed batters (11%) this month (4 games) — tied for 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 10th Percentile.

Javier Assad has walked 8 of 64 batters (12%) this month (4 games) — 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 7% — seventh Percentile.

Bryse Wilson: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Bryse Wilson has allowed a slugging percentage of .538 (184 Total Bases / 342 ABs) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: .387 — third Percentile.

Bryse Wilson has allowed a slugging percentage of .620 (93 Total Bases / 150 ABs) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: .402 — 0 Percentile.

Bryse Wilson has a strikeout rate of just 15% (113 SO in 766 PAs) since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Bryse Wilson has struck out just 14% (53/385) of left-handed batters he faced since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

  
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