The Chicago Cubs (-115) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-105) on Sunday, May 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Cubs are 23-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 19-21 ATS.

Cubs vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

• Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks 0-3, 12.21 ERA
• Pirates starting pitcher: Bailey Falter 2-2, 4.30 ERA

Cubs vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

• Cody Bellinger has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games (+18.00 Units / 200% ROI)
• Michael Busch has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+14.15 Units / 94% ROI)
• Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+13.95 Units / 42% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+12.45 Units / 125% ROI)
• Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+12.20 Units / 52% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jared Triolo has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 22 games (+18.75 Units / 40% ROI)
• Oneil Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+10.50 Units / 150% ROI)
• Jared Triolo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 40% ROI)
• Jared Triolo has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 22 games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 100 games (+5.95 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games (+15.85 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 120 games (+15.10 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 65 games (+10.67 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+10.50 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.13 Units / 40% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 24-16 against the Run Line (+5.05 Units / 8.86% ROI).

• 23-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.1 Units / 14.65% ROI
• 18-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.35 Units / -14.37% ROI
• 22-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 5.13% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 19-21 against the Run Line (-4.09 Units / -7.75% ROI).

• 18-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.3 Units / -13.03% ROI
• 17-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.8 Units / -13.11% ROI
• 21-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.78 Units / 6.35% ROI

Pirates vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Hendricks has located his pitches away 72% of the time (949/1,315) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has thrown his changeup 64% of the time (435/682) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has an ERA of 12.00 (21.0 IP)this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 3.90 — first Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.6 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — first Percentile.

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Bailey Falter has thrown elevated pitches 50% of the time (203/409) against right-handed batters this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 35% (31/89) against Bailey Falter this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 10th Percentile.

Bailey Falter has allowed a slugging percentage of .565 (144 Total Bases / 255 ABs) on breaking pitches since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: .373 — 0 Percentile.

Bailey Falter has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (194/409) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

  
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