The Chicago Cubs (+140) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-165) on Wednesday, August 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Cubs are 67-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 73-59 ATS.

Cubs vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

• Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks 3-10, 6.44 ERA
• Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 8-2, 2.17 ERA

Cubs vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

• Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 42 games (+23.75 Units / 56% ROI)
• Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 49 games (+23.75 Units / 48% ROI)
• Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+21.55 Units / 28% ROI)
• Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 43 games (+17.90 Units / 32% ROI)
• Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 31 of his last 42 games (+17.60 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Yasmani Grandal has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 12 games (+24.90 Units / 208% ROI)
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.70 Units / 35% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 48 games (+9.15 Units / 13% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+9.10 Units / 24% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+9.00 Units / 36% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 46 games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.30 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games (+6.95 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 28 away games (+5.80 Units / 14% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 93 games (+15.75 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 55 games (+9.50 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.80 Units / 63% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+6.05 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 88 games (+1.60 Units / 1% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 65-68 against the Run Line (-14.95 Units / -8.23% ROI).

• 67-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -0.86% ROI
• 60-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.95 Units / -10.2% ROI
• 68-60 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.1 Units / 1.44% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 73-59 against the Run Line (+10.66 Units / 6.22% ROI).

• 62-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -6% ROI
• 63-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.55 Units / -5.15% ROI
• 64-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.47 Units / -3.1% ROI

Pirates vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Hendricks has thrown his changeup 57% of the time (599/1,048) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .357 (41-for-115) against Kyle Hendricks’ elevated fastball since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: .223 — 0 Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has thrown his changeup 46% of the time (494/1,081) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 182 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has thrown his changeup 54% of the time (774/1,423) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 182 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 39% (42 SO in 107 PAs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Paul Skenes has walked 5 of 22 left-handed batters (23%) in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Paul Skenes has a first-pitch strike rate of just 48% (44/91) this month (4 games) — lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.

Paul Skenes has allowed an OBP of just .167 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — 2nd best among among NL Starters; League Avg: .310 — 97th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

  
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