The Chicago Cubs (-160) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+135) on Tuesday, August 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Cubs are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Cubs vs Nationals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cubs are 47-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 49-68 ATS.
Cubs vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Cubs vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 52.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Nationals vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 47 of his last 60 games (+22.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 42 of his last 65 games (+19.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+18.55 Units / 63% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+16.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 19 away games (+16.10 Units / 42% ROI)
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Riley Adams has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+9.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+8.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 games (+8.60 Units / 103% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Joan Adon has hit the Earned Runs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.15 Units / 53% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+11.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 37 games (+7.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+5.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 45 away games (+5.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 21 away games (+2.95 Units / 13% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 62 of their last 104 games (+19.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 43 games at home (+7.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games at home (+4.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+1.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+1.15 Units / 19% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 58-56 against the Run Line (-6.35 Units / -4.31% ROI).
- 47-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.25 Units / -14.05% ROI
- 49-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.55 Units / -11.61% ROI
- 58-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.25 Units / 3.38% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 49-68 against the Run Line (-27.4 Units / -19.13% ROI).
- 39-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -21 Units / -17.31% ROI
- 58-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.85 Units / 0.65% ROI
- 52-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.15 Units / -8.71% ROI
Justin Steele: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .126 (19-for-151) against Justin Steele’s non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .226 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 14% (3/21) against Justin Steele against right-handed batters — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .130 (19-for-146) against Justin Steele’s curve and slider this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .224 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has a strikeout rate of 42% (19 SO in 45 PAs) this month (2 games) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 99th Percentile.
Patrick Corbin: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Division opponents are hitting .358 (78-for-218) against Patrick Corbin this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .245 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .322 (58-for-180) against Patrick Corbin’s non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .226 — 0 Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has an ERA of 9.44 (47.2 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 4.02 — 0 Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has allowed an OPS of .952 (352 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .681 — 0 Percentile.