The Chicago Cubs (-145) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+120) on Monday, August 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Cubs are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Cubs vs Nationals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cubs are 47-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 48-68 ATS.
Cubs vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Cubs vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Monday‘s matchup with 54.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 46 of his last 59 games (+21.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+18.55 Units / 63% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 41 of his last 64 games (+18.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 19 away games (+16.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+15.85 Units / 43% ROI)
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Riley Adams has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+9.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Cesar Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 46 games (+8.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- Cesar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 36 games (+7.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+7.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+7.70 Units / 24% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+12.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+8.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.05 Units / 11% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 61 of their last 103 games (+18.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 95 games (+6.10 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games at home (+3.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+0.40 Units / 8% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 58-55 against the Run Line (-5.35 Units / -3.65% ROI).
- 47-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.85 Units / -13.11% ROI
- 48-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.55 Units / -12.51% ROI
- 58-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.4 Units / 4.33% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 48-68 against the Run Line (-28.4 Units / -20.02% ROI).
- 38-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.2 Units / -18.45% ROI
- 57-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.15 Units / -0.12% ROI
- 52-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -10 Units / -7.88% ROI
Marcus Stroman: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 70% (14/20) against Marcus Stroman vs left-handed batters — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 37% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 65% (20/31) against Marcus Stroman — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 38% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .133 (14 GB hits out of 105 GBs) against Marcus Stroman this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .231 — 99th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has allowed a slugging percentage of .682 (15 Total Bases / 22 ABs) vs left-handed batters — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .363 — third Percentile.
Josiah Gray: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .712 (37 Total Bases / 52 ABs) on fastballs away this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .359 — first Percentile.
Josiah Gray has a strikeout rate of just 3% (2 SO in 74 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — second Percentile.
Josiah Gray has a strike rate of just 61% (1,187/1,944) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .696 (112 Total Bases / 161 ABs) on fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .414 — first Percentile.