The Chicago Cubs (-110) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-110) on Friday, April 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami.

The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Cubs vs Marlins Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Cubs are 14-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 10-16 ATS.

Cubs vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 65.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

• Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+14.40 Units / 101% ROI)
• Patrick Wisdom has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+12.30 Units / 60% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.50 Units / 52% ROI)
• Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+10.35 Units / 31% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 46% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Garrett Cooper has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 55% ROI)
• Bryan De La Cruz has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 41% ROI)
• Garrett Cooper has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.30 Units / 41% ROI)
• Yuli Gurriel has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.45 Units / 48% ROI)
• Jon Berti has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+6.40 Units / 21% ROI)

Marlins vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+10.10 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 games (+9.10 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+8.45 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.90 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.15 Units / 34% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+8.90 Units / 66% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+7.55 Units / 53% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.50 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+4.45 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+1.35 Units / 13% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 15-9 against the Run Line (+6.45 Units / 22.09% ROI).

• 14-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.2 Units / 22.5% ROI
• 12-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.3 Units / -1.13% ROI
• 11-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -8.73% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 10-16 against the Run Line (-10.9 Units / -29.78% ROI).

• 13-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 4.17% ROI
• 11-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.3 Units / -15.11% ROI
• 14-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.8 Units / 6.25% ROI

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Marcus Stroman has walked 9 of 28 batters (32%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 72% (28/39) against Marcus Stroman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (44/73) against Marcus Stroman this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .160 (8-for-50) against Marcus Stroman this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .246 — 95th Percentile.

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jesus Luzardo has allowed an OBP of .488 (43 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .319 — second Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 41% (17/41) against Jesus Luzardo when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.

Jesus Luzardo has allowed an OBP of .593 (27 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .310 — first Percentile.

  
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