The Chicago Cubs (+110) visit Goodyear Ballpark to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-130) on Wednesday, March 13, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Goodyear, AZ.

This season, the Cubs are 7-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 6-7 ATS.

Cubs vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 53.1% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

• Miles Mastrobuoni has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 58% ROI)
• Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Hits Under in his last 3 games (+5.40 Units / 180% ROI)
• Matt Mervis has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.45 Units / 26% ROI)
• Alexander Canario has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 52% ROI)
• Miguel Amaya has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Myles Straw has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.95 Units / 42% ROI)
• Jose Tena has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Will Brennan has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.90 Units / 83% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 100 games (+5.95 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 76 games at home (+22.70 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 120 games (+6.20 Units / 4% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 62 games at home (+4.25 Units / 5% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Cubs are 8-6 against the Run Line (+1.71 Units / 9.61% ROI).

• 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.61 Units / 9.29% ROI
• 5-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.83 Units / -31.47% ROI
• 9-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.52 Units / 22.78% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Guardians are 6-7 against the Run Line (-1.98 Units / -11.4% ROI).

• 5-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.19 Units / -20.75% ROI
• 5-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.62 Units / -18.69% ROI
• 7-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.32 Units / 9.05% ROI

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.2 MPH on fastballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 0 Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks located 70% of his pitches away (399/571) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.6 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — first Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks threw his changeup 66% of the time (376/571) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tanner Bibee allowed an OPS of just .542 (270 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .746 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 24% (25/103) against Tanner Bibee on sliders in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 97th Percentile.

Tanner Bibee allowed a slugging percentage of just .270 (66 Total Bases / 244 ABs) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .426 — 99th Percentile.

Tanner Bibee elevated 46% of his pitches (222/481) when ahead in the count in the 2023 season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 96th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

  
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