The Chicago Cubs (-115) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-105) on Sunday, September 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Cubs vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 78-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 81-69 ATS.
Cubs vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Cubs vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 56.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 42 games (+17.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 19 away games (+16.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+14.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 35 games (+13.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 40 games (+11.65 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Evan Longoria has hit the Runs Under in his last 15 games (+15.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+14.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+13.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Evan Longoria has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+11.10 Units / 111% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Diamondbacks vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Diamondbacks vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Diamondbacks vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Wicks | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -140 |
| Ryne Nelson | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 75-74 against the Run Line (-1.3 Units / -0.7% ROI).
- 78-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -0.24% ROI
- 73-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.15 Units / -3.72% ROI
- 71-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.65 Units / -5.32% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 81-69 against the Run Line (+2.55 Units / 1.32% ROI).
- 78-72 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.85 Units / 2.61% ROI
- 65-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.35 Units / -12.71% ROI
- 77-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.95 Units / 4.28% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Wicks has not walked any of the 40 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (24/39) against Jordan Wicks — 6th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 90th Percentile.
Jordan Wicks has walked 1 of 48 batters (2%) — 8th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 87th Percentile.
Jordan Wicks has not allowed a home run in any of the last 22.2 innings he’s appeared — Tanner Scott has the longest active streak at 62.2.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryne Nelson has an ERA of 8.59 (51.1 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 4.18 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .364 (80-for-220) against Ryne Nelson at home this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (70/418) against Ryne Nelson this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.