The Chicago Cubs (+155) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-190) on Sunday, September 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Cubs vs Cardinals Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cubs are 55-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 74-56 ATS.
Cubs vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction for Today's Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday's matchup with 66.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today
We've highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday's game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 28 games (+17.75 Units / 56% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 29 games (+16.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 57 of his last 78 games (+16.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 19 away games (+16.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+15.00 Units / 34% ROI)
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday's game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 33 of his last 49 games at home (+17.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 49 games at home (+16.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 54 games (+14.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 51 games at home (+11.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.50 Units / 29% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 34 of their last 56 games (+14.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 6 away games (+3.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 games (+1.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 away games (+0.35 Units / 3% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 49 games (+5.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 58 of their last 110 games (+4.90 Units / 4% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.10 Units / 10% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 66-65 against the Run Line (-9.6 Units / -5.7% ROI).
- 55-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.15 Units / -11.56% ROI
- 56-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.95 Units / -9.78% ROI
- 64-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.65 Units / 1.84% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 74-56 against the Run Line (+16.3 Units / 10.05% ROI).
- 75-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.15 Units / 6.3% ROI
- 61-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -9 Units / -6.3% ROI
- 63-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.7 Units / -2.61% ROI
Marcus Stroman: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marcus Stroman has not allowed a HR in any of his last four starts dating back to August 15th – George Kirby has the longest active streak at 9.
Marcus Stroman has not allowed a home run in any of the last 24.0 innings he's appeared – Reynaldo Lopez has the longest active streak at 54.0.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 38% (23/60) against Marcus Stroman when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season – highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 25% – first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 55% (89/162) against Marcus Stroman this season – 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 43% – 93rd Percentile.
Miles Mikolas: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 20% (137/671) against Miles Mikolas this season – tied for 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% – 11th Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has walked 5 of 115 batters (4%) with runners in scoring position this season – tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% – 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (38/234) against Miles Mikolas with runners in scoring position this season – lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% – second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (233/1,275) against Miles Mikolas this season – 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% – seventh Percentile.