The Chicago Cubs (+165) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-200) on Friday, July 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Cubs are 45-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 46-46 ATS.

Cubs vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks 1-7, 7.62 ERA
• Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 9-5, 3.29 ERA

Cubs vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s MLB game with 61.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

• Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+19.05 Units / 36% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+14.20 Units / 27% ROI)
• Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)
• Michael Busch has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+12.40 Units / 95% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 39 games (+11.95 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Brendan Donovan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games (+19.50 Units / 150% ROI)
• Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.35 Units / 37% ROI)
• Nolan Gorman has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.40 Units / 64% ROI)
• Willson Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.30 Units / 46% ROI)
• Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 82 games (+11.80 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 40 of their last 68 games (+9.30 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 68 games (+8.75 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.30 Units / 61% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 59% ROI)

Cardinals Best Bets Today:

• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 53 games (+9.25 Units / 15% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 27 games at home (+7.15 Units / 22% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.05 Units / 29% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.95 Units / 26% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.90 Units / 17% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 46-48 against the Run Line (-12.3 Units / -9.4% ROI).

• 45-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -4.29% ROI
• 40-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.75 Units / -15.27% ROI
• 51-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.1 Units / 6.84% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 46-46 against the Run Line (-2.7 Units / -2.22% ROI).

• 48-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.55 Units / -4.06% ROI
• 42-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.75 Units / -7.73% ROI
• 45-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -1.25% ROI

Cardinals vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.6 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — first Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 82.1 MPH on non-fastballs since last season (323 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: 87.4

Kyle Hendricks has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.2 MPH in the 2023 season (449 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 89.2

Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.3 MPH on fastballs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — first Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 55% (62 SO in 112 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .302 (122 Total Bases / 404 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .387 — 96th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 37% (53 SO in 144 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .147 (45 Total Bases / 306 ABs) on sliders since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: .389 — 100th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

  
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