Cubs vs. Brewers Odds
Wednesday, July 58:10 p.m. ETMLB.TV
| Cubs Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
| -148 | 8.5'-110 / -110 | -1.5+110 |
| Brewers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
| +126 | 8.5-110' / -110 | +1.5-132 |
Odds via'FanDuel.'Get up-to-the-minute'MLB odds here.Check out our'MLB Betting Hub'for more previews from today's slate.
The Cubs and Brewers spli t the first two games of their divisional series in wild fashion. Milwaukee erased a 6-0 deficit in the first game on Monday to win 8-6 after thrashing the Chicago bullpen. The Brewers then erased a 6-2 deficit in the eighth with two runs in each of the last two innings on Tuesday to force extra innings.
Base running errors cost Milwaukee a golden chance to win the game in the 10th, and the Cubs held on to win in the 11th. The Cubs remain seven games out of first place and six behind the Brewers, which makes each head-to-head matchup that much more important.
Chicago is throwing its 2023 ace and All-Star Justin Steele against backend Brewers starter Adrian Houser, hence the pricing of the Cubs as a solid road favorite for Wednesday's matchup. The market – and first five innings especially – moved hard toward the Cubs overnight with Steele moving from a -158 first five favorite to a roughly -170 to -175 consensus road favorite.
Even though Steele is the clearly superior pitcher, the market has moved to the point where I no longer see value in backing Steele in the first five innings. He consistently beats projections because of his weak contact quality allowed, but there's a different way I'm attacking this market now on Wednesday.