The Chicago Cubs (+105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-125) on Thursday, May 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Cubs are 28-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 30-25 ATS.

Cubs vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 3-2, 2.59 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea 4-2, 3.98 ERA

Cubs vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

• Michael Busch has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 20 away games (+17.10 Units / 86% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 44 games (+16.80 Units / 38% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.15 Units / 48% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 44 games (+14.70 Units / 27% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 44 games (+11.65 Units / 22% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+24.00 Units / 600% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+16.75 Units / 26% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 50 games (+11.95 Units / 24% ROI)
• Joseph Ortiz has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+11.30 Units / 113% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 49 games (+10.90 Units / 21% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.80 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 44 games (+9.30 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.35 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 28 away games (+4.85 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 23 away games (+3.65 Units / 11% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 55 games (+11.60 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 55 games (+8.60 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+8.45 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 55 games (+8.34 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.95 Units / 19% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 29-27 against the Run Line (-4.15 Units / -5.25% ROI).

• 28-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 1.12% ROI
• 24-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.25 Units / -16.6% ROI
• 31-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.6 Units / 7.48% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 30-25 against the Run Line (+1.7 Units / 2.23% ROI).

• 32-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.6 Units / 13.34% ROI
• 31-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +6 Units / 9.91% ROI
• 23-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.85 Units / -17.95% ROI

Brewers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 7% (3/43) against Jameson Taillon over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has walked 12 of 413 right-handed batters (3%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has allowed three-ball counts to 11% of batters they faced (47/413 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 96th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has a strike rate of 70% (1,048/1,491) against right-handed batters since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 97th Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Colin Rea has allowed an OPS of .957 (90 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .669 — third Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (74/386) against Colin Rea this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.

Colin Rea has a strikeout rate of just 17% (15 SO in 90 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — ninth Percentile.

Colin Rea has allowed a slugging percentage of .568 (46 Total Bases / 81 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — third Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

  
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