The Chicago Cubs (+105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-125) on Thursday, May 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Cubs are 28-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 30-25 ATS.
Cubs vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 3-2, 2.59 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea 4-2, 3.98 ERA
Cubs vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Cubs vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Busch has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 20 away games (+17.10 Units / 86% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 44 games (+16.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.15 Units / 48% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 44 games (+14.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 44 games (+11.65 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+24.00 Units / 600% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+16.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 50 games (+11.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- Joseph Ortiz has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+11.30 Units / 113% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 49 games (+10.90 Units / 21% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 44 games (+9.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 28 away games (+4.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 23 away games (+3.65 Units / 11% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 55 games (+11.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 55 games (+8.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+8.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 55 games (+8.34 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.95 Units / 19% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 29-27 against the Run Line (-4.15 Units / -5.25% ROI).
- 28-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 1.12% ROI
- 24-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.25 Units / -16.6% ROI
- 31-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.6 Units / 7.48% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 30-25 against the Run Line (+1.7 Units / 2.23% ROI).
- 32-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.6 Units / 13.34% ROI
- 31-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +6 Units / 9.91% ROI
- 23-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.85 Units / -17.95% ROI
Brewers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Jake Bauers (MIL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Brewers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Mike Tauchman (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Brewers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Brewers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jameson Taillon (CHC) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
Colin Rea (MIL) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 7% (3/43) against Jameson Taillon over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 12 of 413 right-handed batters (3%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed three-ball counts to 11% of batters they faced (47/413 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 96th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has a strike rate of 70% (1,048/1,491) against right-handed batters since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 97th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Colin Rea has allowed an OPS of .957 (90 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .669 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (74/386) against Colin Rea this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.
Colin Rea has a strikeout rate of just 17% (15 SO in 90 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — ninth Percentile.
Colin Rea has allowed a slugging percentage of .568 (46 Total Bases / 81 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — third Percentile.