The Chicago Cubs (+150) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-185) on Sunday, June 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Cubs are 39-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 44-39 ATS.

Cubs vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks 1-5, 6.95 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 5-4, 4.07 ERA

Cubs vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 59.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

• Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+19.05 Units / 36% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 away games (+18.20 Units / 34% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 23 away games (+14.95 Units / 60% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+14.20 Units / 27% ROI)
• Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 12 games at home (+16.00 Units / 133% ROI)
• Willy Adames has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+12.50 Units / 60% ROI)
• Willy Adames has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+12.50 Units / 49% ROI)
• Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+11.05 Units / 21% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 58 games (+14.70 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 72 games (+12.35 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 58 games (+9.15 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 away games (+0.60 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 12 away games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 83 games (+13.35 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 83 games (+10.80 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games at home (+10.45 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 79 games (+9.40 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+7.85 Units / 25% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 40-44 against the Run Line (-13.6 Units / -11.55% ROI).

• 39-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.45 Units / -7.3% ROI
• 35-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.4 Units / -16.68% ROI
• 46-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.65 Units / 8.27% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 44-39 against the Run Line (+2.15 Units / 1.94% ROI).

• 49-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.35 Units / 13.01% ROI
• 44-34 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.2 Units / 7.93% ROI
• 34-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.4 Units / -15.68% ROI

Brewers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.6 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — first Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has thrown his changeup 61% of the time (519/849) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.2 MPH in the 2023 season (449 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 89.2

Kyle Hendricks has located his pitches away 70% of the time (1,097/1,563) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Freddy Peralta has a strike rate of just 58% (300/513) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 55% (112 SO in 202 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (55/150) against Freddy Peralta with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .422 (19-for-45) against Freddy Peralta on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .333 — 10th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

  
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