The Chicago Cubs (+110) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-135) on Saturday, June 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Cubs are 38-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 44-38 ATS.
Cubs vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele 0-3, 3.08 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Tobias Myers 5-2, 3.14 ERA
Cubs vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Cubs vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+19.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 away games (+18.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 23 away games (+14.95 Units / 60% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+14.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 12 games at home (+16.00 Units / 133% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+12.50 Units / 60% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+12.50 Units / 49% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+11.05 Units / 21% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 57 games (+15.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 71 games (+12.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 57 games (+10.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 away games (+0.60 Units / 5% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 82 games (+14.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+11.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 82 games (+9.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 78 games (+9.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 26 games at home (+9.20 Units / 31% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 39-44 against the Run Line (-14.6 Units / -12.61% ROI).
- 38-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.45 Units / -8.36% ROI
- 35-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.4 Units / -16.87% ROI
- 46-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.65 Units / 8.37% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 44-38 against the Run Line (+3.15 Units / 2.87% ROI).
- 49-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.55 Units / 14.35% ROI
- 44-34 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.2 Units / 8.03% ROI
- 34-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.4 Units / -15.88% ROI
Brewers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jake Bauers (MIL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Brewers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Brewers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Brewers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jameson Taillon (CHC) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -120 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (659/1,492) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (1,108/2,492) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has a strikeout rate of 61% (17 SO in 28 PAs) with two-strikes — 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (441/980) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.